What Investing Your Cash Back in the S&P 500 Would Be Worth
The setup: 2% back, invested instead of spent
Let me keep the setup the same as our other studies so the numbers line up. Say you run about $2,500 a month, so $30,000 a year, through a card for normal everyday spending. A plain 2% flat-rate card like the Wells Fargo Active Cash or the Citi Double Cash pays you $600 a year in cash back. Most people let that money trickle back as a statement credit and never really notice it, which is fine, but it also means it quietly disappears back into everyday spending. This study asks a different question: what if you took that same $600 a year and put it into a low-cost S&P 500 index fund instead of spending it?
The 10-year backtest
So here is the exercise. Every year, your $600 in cash back buys into the S&P 500 at roughly that year’s level, and you leave it alone, so I value it at where the index sits today, around 7,540 as I write this in July 2026. The index climbed from about 2,090 in 2016 to that level over the decade, with a couple of down years along the way.
| Year | Approx. S&P 500 level | $600 invested, worth today |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | ~2,090 | $2,165 |
| 2017 | ~2,450 | $1,850 |
| 2018 | ~2,745 | $1,650 |
| 2019 | ~2,910 | $1,555 |
| 2020 | ~3,220 | $1,405 |
| 2021 | ~4,270 | $1,060 |
| 2022 | ~4,100 | $1,105 |
| 2023 | ~4,285 | $1,055 |
| 2024 | ~5,430 | $835 |
| 2025 | ~6,300 | $720 |
| 2026 (YTD) | ~7,200 | $630 |
| Total | ~$14,000 |
Add it up and the same $6,600 of cash back, invested, comes to roughly $14,000 today. That is a little over double, and every dollar of it came from rewards you earned on spending you were doing anyway. The levels above are approximate yearly averages and this counts price growth only, so with dividends reinvested you would have a bit more.
Why this is steadier than the crypto version
If you read our crypto rewards study, this is the calm counterpart. That one produced a wild headline number, but almost all of it came from a single early year and a coin that can drop by half without warning. The S&P 500 is different. It is hundreds of the largest companies in the country, so the result here is not riding on one lucky year, it is spread across the whole decade. It had real down years, 2018 and 2022 both finished lower, and it recovered from both, the way it has recovered from every drop so far. You do not have to believe in any single stock or time anything. You just own the market and let it work.
The real money is in the time, not the decade
I want to be honest about one thing: the 2016 to 2026 stretch was a strong run for the market, closer to 13 to 15% a year than the long-run average. Do not plan on that repeating. The number worth building around is the S&P 500’s long-run return of about 10% a year. Here is why the habit still matters even at that calmer pace: $600 a year invested for 30 years at 10% grows to somewhere near $99,000. That is from a plain 2% card. If you earn 3 to 5% back with category cards, or you spend more than $30,000 a year, the ending number climbs from there. The power is not the rate on the card, it is doing this steadily for decades.
How to actually do it
None of this works if the cash back keeps vanishing into your statement, so the trick is to make investing it automatic. Pick a strong flat-rate card like the Active Cash or Double Cash, or lean on category cards where you spend the most, and redeem your rewards as actual cash rather than gift cards or trinkets. Then move that cash into a low-cost S&P 500 index fund or ETF on a set schedule, monthly or quarterly, so you never have to think about it. And pay the card in full every month, because one month of interest at today’s rates wipes out a year of 2% rewards. Run your own spending through the rewards calculator to see how much cash back you would really earn, then point it at the market and leave it alone.